It has been argued by various sources that Ukraine peace talks without Russia are deemed futile.
Arguments supporting futility
- Necessity for a comprehensive resolution:Â A lasting peace requires direct engagement with Russia to address core issues like territorial integrity, security guarantees, and a pathway to ending the conflict.
- Russia’s crucial role:Â As the aggressor and a key party to the conflict, Russia’s participation is indispensable for any genuine and sustainable peace agreement.
- Historical precedent:Â Past attempts at negotiations that excluded Russia have been unproductive and failed to achieve lasting peace, according to Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP).
- Risk of a “frozen conflict”: Talks without Russia might lead to a prolonged stalemate, says the Council on Foreign Relations, without a true resolution, potentially paving the way for future hostilities.Â
Counterarguments and alternative perspectives
- Focus on building a united front:Â Some argue that initial discussions without Russia, especially among Ukrainian allies, can solidify a united stance and build a stronger negotiating position for eventual talks with Russia.
- Defining red lines and conditions for engagement: Discussions among allies can establish clearer parameters and non-negotiable conditions before engaging in direct dialogue with Russia, according to DW.Â
In conclusion, while a comprehensive and lasting peace requires Russia’s involvement in peace talks, some argue for the importance of preparatory discussions among Ukraine and its allies to strengthen their position and define clear objectives before direct negotiations with Russia commence.